In December 2002 I wrote some 2003 predictions, and boy was I off (comically, in some instances)
First, a major distribution will drop out of the market. Red
Hat? Nah. Debian? Doubt it. Caldera/SCO/whatever they’re called
today don’t count.
Well, Red Hat dropped out, SCO did their thing.
Second prediction is an easier one. The BSDs (FreeBSD, OpenBSD,
and NetBSD) will get a lot more attention this year.
While I won’t say I’m completely right here, the *BSDs made some major releases, and certainly weren’t worse off.
Third prediction – Sun Microsystems. Are they going down the
hole? No. But, out of all the proprietary UNIXes out there, I
think Solaris has the most likelihood of losing market share to
I think I have to take some points here, even though this one was fairly obvious.
I also didn’t forsee that the newsletter this was written in would be abruptly stopped a month later.
No more predictions this year. Do your start of year maintenance instead.
Best wishes in the new year.